{
 "_model_version": "v2.2-2026-07-10",
 "base": 87.9,
 "basis": "One lever perturbed at a time from the Balanced base, full 200,000-run model, locked seed. p = P(discounted payback within the scenario's accounting deadline). Generated by sensitivity_levers.py from montecarlo_v2 -- regenerate this file whenever the model version changes.",
 "rows": {
  "starlink_surge": {
   "label": "FEAR  Starlink surge (+2%/yr churn)",
   "p": 71.5,
   "delta": -16.4
  },
  "shock": {
   "label": "FEAR  Reseller/market shock (~20%)",
   "p": 82.5,
   "delta": -5.4
  },
  "pricewar": {
   "label": "FEAR  NCI price war (-2 pts, 3yr)",
   "p": 86.7,
   "delta": -1.2
  },
  "rt0": {
   "label": "CHOICE Rate lags inflation fully (RT0)",
   "p": 61.9,
   "delta": -26.0
  },
  "true_freeze": {
   "label": "CHOICE Rate LITERALLY frozen (2009 record)",
   "p": 33.7,
   "delta": -54.2
  },
  "cliff": {
   "label": "CHOICE Strictest wear-out accounting",
   "p": 66.4,
   "delta": -21.5
  },
  "strip": {
   "label": "SKEPTIC Strip retention+funded-growth",
   "p": 82.3,
   "delta": -5.6
  },
  "bw_zero": {
   "label": "STRESS bandwidth hypothetically zero",
   "p": 75.5,
   "delta": -12.4
  },
  "bw_full": {
   "label": "UPSIDE bandwidth at documented 2.8 Mbps",
   "p": 97.1,
   "delta": 9.2
  },
  "bw_price": {
   "label": "WHATIF price drops $1.50->$1.00",
   "p": 84.5,
   "delta": -3.4
  },
  "fixed30": {
   "label": "STRUCTURE 30% of opex fixed (v2.2 bracket)",
   "p": 78.8,
   "delta": -9.1
  },
  "fixed50": {
   "label": "STRUCTURE 50% of opex fixed (v2.2 bracket)",
   "p": 73.4,
   "delta": -14.5
  },
  "all_fears": {
   "label": "ALL THREE FEARS together",
   "p": 62.8,
   "delta": -25.1
  },
  "delay1": {
   "label": "DELAY  build delayed 1 year",
   "p": 84.4,
   "delta": -3.5
  },
  "delay2": {
   "label": "DELAY  build delayed 2 years",
   "p": 80.1,
   "delta": -7.8
  },
  "delay3": {
   "label": "DELAY  build delayed 3 years",
   "p": 75.0,
   "delta": -12.9
  },
  "card_starlink3": {
   "label": "CARD  Starlink surge +3%/yr",
   "p": 59.6,
   "delta": -28.3
  },
  "card_shock25": {
   "label": "CARD  market shock 25% one-time",
   "p": 80.5,
   "delta": -7.4
  },
  "card_no_sticky": {
   "label": "CARD  remove stickiness only",
   "p": 85.5,
   "delta": -2.4
  },
  "card_no_community": {
   "label": "CARD  remove community only",
   "p": 85.1,
   "delta": -2.8
  }
 }
}